Carrell JD, Phinney AI, Mueller K, Bean B. Multiscale ecological niche modeling exhibits varying climate change impacts on habitat suitability of Madrean Pine-Oak trees. Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution. 2023, 11.
During my time at Utah State University, I was a participant in the NSF Graduate Traineeship in Climate Adaptation Science. As a team of 3 MS students, we developed a research manuscript that examines the effects of modeling habitat suitability for 7 montane tree species under climate change at 2 spatial scales. Local and regional models showed largely differing predictions while climate change scenarios varied little.
This work is important for land managers and modelers who are examining the effects of climate change on biodiversity and may be applied globally.
This manuscript (preprint found here) is currently under review for a special issue, "The Ecological Niche at Multiple Scales" in Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution.
During my time at Utah State University, I was a participant in the NSF Graduate Traineeship in Climate Adaptation Science. As a team of 3 MS students, we developed a research manuscript that examines the effects of modeling habitat suitability for 7 montane tree species under climate change at 2 spatial scales. Local and regional models showed largely differing predictions while climate change scenarios varied little.
This work is important for land managers and modelers who are examining the effects of climate change on biodiversity and may be applied globally.
This manuscript (preprint found here) is currently under review for a special issue, "The Ecological Niche at Multiple Scales" in Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution.
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Ensemble models of 3 machine learning algorithms predicted habitat suitability under current and predicted future climate change scenarios.
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We used Generalized Additive Models to assess how predicted habitat suitability shifted along elevation for all climate change scenarios across 2 spatial scales: local and regional.
I presented this work at the Colorado State University Fall 22' Graduate Student showcase and was awarded the Warner College of Natural Resources Award for Graduate Student Achievement. Poster below!
This project was supported by the National Science Foundation under Grant No. 1633756.
Below is the published manuscript!